Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 4.434763 5.286774 6.234910 7.364853 8.671216 10.130396 11.879825
2025-06-22 3.004173 4.035082 5.302624 6.962269 9.062898 11.616771 14.938199
2025-06-29 2.259090 3.358037 4.826941 6.904176 9.730774 13.402855 18.486312
2025-07-06 1.762703 2.866319 4.453212 6.850446 10.317327 15.074963 22.004681
2025-07-13 1.528506 2.683156 4.448778 7.265981 11.547702 17.688248 27.000638
2025-07-20 1.306377 2.464327 4.339319 7.484963 12.485601 19.945224 31.669228
2025-07-27 1.157334 2.330628 4.330847 7.839414 13.641145 22.596533 37.110002
2025-08-03 0.977278 2.103271 4.125021 7.832012 14.204057 24.372455 41.347488
2025-08-10 0.793023 1.827872 3.787075 7.543631 14.255419 25.323832 44.345917
2025-08-17 0.648362 1.598351 3.491782 7.281202 14.304464 26.249581 47.341606
2025-08-24 0.557906 1.462244 3.350291 7.276229 14.791922 27.924758 51.666266
2025-08-31 0.484930 1.348722 3.234301 7.300224 15.324804 29.705451 56.277090
2025-09-07 0.415571 1.230423 3.093859 7.265750 15.760403 31.378992 60.881801
2025-09-14 0.334580 1.063293 2.818869 6.916169 15.549403 31.872120 63.449383
2025-09-21 0.287014 0.971399 2.697543 6.874646 15.939609 33.492825 68.146428
2025-09-28 0.246421 0.888060 2.581356 6.826569 16.306613 35.090378 72.900301
2025-10-05 0.234336 0.885732 2.664360 7.242774 17.685672 38.730198 81.697507
2025-10-12 0.214064 0.852957 2.663974 7.461814 18.658958 41.638255 89.276940
2025-10-19 0.201289 0.841227 2.717092 7.815540 19.957739 45.278831 98.478138
2025-10-26 0.176371 0.781484 2.629117 7.808238 20.445602 47.307178 104.644837
2025-11-02 0.145948 0.692395 2.441456 7.520655 20.260753 47.930769 108.055940
2025-11-09 0.121109 0.615403 2.273478 7.258939 20.105209 48.595436 111.577001
2025-11-16 0.106423 0.573623 2.204504 7.253983 20.561324 50.591406 117.928442